ProduceTrends

Know the fresh produce market before it moves.

Every USDA price quote, shipment, weather flag and grocery ad for 200+ fruits and vegetables — on one desk that tells you what it means and what to do about it.

7 days free · no credit card · pick 2 commodities and you are on the desk in a minute

producetrends.com
The ProduceTrends Commodity Desk for avocados: filters, the Seller's market signal, the week-over-week change grid and a live supply alert

The Commodity Desk — a real screen, real USDA data. Click any screenshot to enlarge it.

Most of the industry reacts… You will see it coming!

What you get access to

Everything you would otherwise dig out by hand

These are the actual screens, on live USDA data. Pick a tab.

Commodity Desk

A year of prices and volume on one canvas: what growers get FOB, what terminal markets charge, the shipped volume behind both — with the model's 12-week projection and your own break-even line drawn right on the chart.

Questions it answers

  • Is the spread between FOB and terminal widening — and who is taking it?
  • Where is the market headed from here, on the model's read?
  • When did news hit, and what did prices do next?
Price and volume trend for Hass avocados: FOB and terminal lines over volume bars, a break-even line, event flags and the dotted 12-week projection

Real Hass avocado data — every line, band and flag explained in plain English on the page.

Price outlook & your break-even

The model's call for the next 4 and 12 weeks with the expected move — beside a card that knows your number: how far the market sits from your cost, the odds it clears it, and the months that historically pay this crop best.

Questions it answers

  • Should I cover now or wait?
  • What are the odds the market clears my break-even in the next month?
  • Which months pay best — and what demand events are coming?

We publish the model's real track record next to every call, including the commodities where it is barely better than assuming no change. You should know which parts to lean on.

Break-even card showing the market versus your cost, the 4 and 12 week model outlook, and the five-year marketing window with coming demand events

The call, the expected move, your cost — and the best window to sell.

Every season, one on top of another

Price and volume by month with each of the last five years overlaid, so this year's line sits directly on top of the years before it — and the next 12 weeks projected in dots.

Questions it answers

  • Is this year running high or low against the last five?
  • When does volume normally peak — and is this season early or late?
  • What does the rest of the year usually look like from here?
Price by month and volume by month charts with five years overlaid and a dotted 12-week projection

The green line is this year. Everything else is history to judge it by.

Price book — down to the spec

The week's quotes by variety, size and grade, FOB and terminal kept apart, with the move on every line. 48s and 60s are different markets, and this shows them as different markets — switch the window between the current week, the last 7 days and the last 30.

Questions it answers

  • What should I quote for Hass 48s this week?
  • Which sizes are firming and which are easing?
  • What did the same spec do over the last 30 days?
Price book table with size-level quotes, FOB and terminal basis pills, low and high prices and week-over-week change

A real quote sheet. Exports to Excel in one click.

Prices by size

Every size as its own line, because 32s and 84s are different markets. One glance shows which end of the size curve is tightening — and which sizes are dragging the average.

Questions it answers

  • Which sizes are commanding a premium right now?
  • Is the whole curve moving, or only the big fruit?
  • Where do my sizes sit against the average?
A year of weekly average prices per pound, one line per fruit size

A year of weekly prices, size by size.

Who ships, from where, at what price

Weekly volume by origin across a full year — then this week broken out: price by origin, price by terminal market, transport mode, and each origin's share of supply.

Questions it answers

  • Which origin is taking over as the season hands off?
  • Which terminal market pays the most this week?
  • How much is moving by boat versus truck?
Supply by origin over time: weekly shipped volume per origin with Mexico, California, Peru and others as separate lines
Four breakdown cards: price by origin, price by terminal market, transport mode and supply share by origin

Top: a year of supply by origin. Bottom: this week, broken out.

Weather where it is actually grown

Not city weather. The regions shipping today AND the regions growing the next few months' supply — with drought status, each region's typical frost window, and daily temperatures drawn against that place's own seasonal normal.

Questions it answers

  • Is the crop that ships this winter already in trouble in the field?
  • How far from normal is that heat, really?
  • When does each region typically see its first frost — and is it close?
Weather page in the Growing view: drought table, frost window table and daily temperature charts with dotted normal lines

Growing regions get their own view — damage there shows up in prices weeks later.

Harvest Atlas

The world map of where your commodity is actually harvested, month by month back to 2020 — with live hurricane cones from the National Hurricane Center drawn over the growing regions and, for Mexico, the government's own measured harvest next to what crossed the border.

Questions it answers

  • Who is in season right now, and who is ramping up behind them?
  • Is this region running ahead of or behind its normal year?
  • Which growing areas sit inside a storm cone today?
Harvest Atlas world map with volume bubbles per growing region, a month selector and four live hurricane forecast cones

Four live storms on the map the day this screen was captured.

Test the contract before you sign it

Type your fixed price and volume, pick the window, and read the verdict: what the same contract would have paid in each of the last three seasons, and what the season ahead looks like at that number — in dollars, with the best and worst case.

Questions it answers

  • Would my fixed price beat the market over my window?
  • What is the worst case and the best case, in dollars?
  • What does the model say about the weeks my contract covers?
Contract simulator verdict for a fixed avocado contract with the projected season, three replayed seasons and the contract window shaded

A grower's 40,000 lb/week contract, tested against three real seasons and the projected one.

🌿 Organic coverage

Every organic quote, shipment and grocery ad USDA publishes, with the premium tracked week by week against conventional.

🔔 Alerts

Price thresholds and market-signal flips, by email or Telegram. Set them per commodity or per package — or let your break-even set them for you.

📬 Weekly digest

Your commodities, the market index and the week's movers in your inbox — in your language.

⬇️ CSV export

Every table and every chart drops straight into Excel. It is your data to work with.

📁 Saved views

Set a screen up once — filters, range, specs — name it, and reopen it in a click. Share it as a link.

📱 Works on your phone

The same desk in the truck, at the dock and on the floor, not a stripped-down version of it.

Made to be understood

Every report explains itself

You should not need a data analyst to read a market report. Every card carries a "How to read this" panel, written in produce-business language — what it shows, how to read it, and what decision it supports.

Price & volume trend
$/lb · lb
How to read this
Reading guide Price lines over volume bars — supply and price on one canvas; volume surges usually precede price dips. FOB is what shippers and growers are paid at origin; Terminal is the wholesale city price. The gap between them is freight, handling and margin — a widening gap means the middle of the chain is taking more. The darker inner band is USDA's Mostly range, where the bulk of sales actually traded, while low and high include outlier lots; quote inside it. Click any point to open the actual USDA records behind it.

Click it. That is the real panel, with the real text.

Written for the trade, not for statisticians

Real substitutes, real workflows, worked examples. "48s up while 60s are flat means demand is shifting to bigger fruit" — not "observe the divergence in the size-stratified series".

One color rule, on every screen

Green means cheaper to buy, red means costlier — the opposite of a stock app, because here you are buying the product, not holding it. Suppliers and growers flip one rule, once, and everything reads the same way after that.

We label what we cannot answer

Shipment records rarely carry a variety, so when a panel cannot honor the filter you set, it says "commodity level" instead of quietly mixing scopes. Honest beats tidy.

The reading guide expanded above the price and volume chart inside the product
Where the numbers come from

Every figure traces back to the USDA record

Click any point on any chart and the actual USDA Market News rows behind it open up — date, market, origin, variety, package, size, grade and the quoted range. Export them. Check our arithmetic.

The source drill-down listing the individual USDA price quotes behind a chart point
📋 USDA AMS My Market News
🏷️ Terminal, shipping point, movement and retail
⚖️ Normalized to $/lb, $/kg and $/cwt
🔄 Re-pulled as USDA revises
USDAMarket News

Source data is public and published by the USDA Agricultural Marketing Service. We are not affiliated with, or endorsed by, the USDA — we redistribute their public data and do the work of making it usable. Weather from Open-Meteo, drought from the US Drought Monitor, storms from the National Hurricane Center. Not financial advice.

Built for your seat

The same data, framed for your side of the trade

One control flips the whole desk between Buyer, Supplier and Grower — the callouts, the colors and the recommendations all re-frame.

🌾

Growers & shippers

See the FOB price you are actually paid, next to what terminals charge. Find the months your crop has historically paid the most, the best-paying terminal market this week, and which competing regions are tight or heavy before you commit volume.

🛒

Buyers & retail

Know whether this is an expensive week by seasonal standards before you cover. Line up a backup origin before the weather hits it. See what stores are promoting, because today's ads are next week's shopper demand.

🚢

Brokers & importers

Track spreads between origins and markets, watch shipment volume by port of entry, compare delivered cost lane by lane, and get alerted the moment a market signal flips on the items you trade.

Ask AI

Ask the desk a question, in plain language

The assistant reads the screen you are looking at and answers like a colleague who has already done the homework. These are real answers from the live assistant — pick your seat.

✦ Ask AI Included in Desk
Example conversations · answered by the live assistant on real USDA data, 07/26/2026 · English & Spanish
Pricing

Straightforward, and worth one better decision

A single truckload is a $40,000 to $80,000 decision. One better-timed buy covers the year.

Pro
Everything, one seat.
$79 / month
  • Commodity Desk, Sourcing Desk and Weekly Update
  • Harvest Atlas, Weather, Compare and Simulator
  • Unlimited commodities and favorites
  • Price and market-signal alerts by email or Telegram
  • Weekly digest, CSV exports and saved views
  • Full source drill-down on every chart
  • English and Spanish
Start free trial
Most popular
Desk
For a team that trades together.
$199 / month
  • Everything in Pro, plus
  • 3 seats
  • Ask AI included — 25 questions a day
  • Priority support on Telegram
Start free trial
Ask AI
Add-on for Pro accounts.
$29 / month
  • Ask any panel a question in plain language
  • It reads the screen you are looking at
  • 25 questions a day
  • English or Spanish
Start free trial

Every plan starts with a free trial — no credit card, and nothing renews on its own. Need more seats, API access, or the platform on your own domain and logo? Talk to us.

Questions

Straight answers

Which commodities are covered?
Every fresh fruit and vegetable USDA Market News reports — a little over 200, from avocados, berries and citrus to bell peppers, onions, tomatoes and watermelons. Nuts and ornamentals are deliberately excluded: this is a fresh produce product, and leaving them in made the averages worse.
How current is the data?
We pull several times a day on weekdays, and re-pull recent dates because USDA revises its own numbers. Shipment movement lands the same day; price quotes mostly settle within two weeks. Every page shows the date the data runs through, and the exact time of the last pull.
Do I need a credit card for the trial?
No. The trial runs seven days and covers the two commodities you pick at signup. Nothing is charged, and nothing renews on its own. If it is not useful, do nothing and it simply ends.
Is it available in Spanish?
Yes — the whole product, in Mexican produce-trade register: the interface, the written market narratives, the alerts and the weekly digest. Pick your language when you sign up, or switch any time. Commodity, origin and variety names stay exactly as USDA reports them, so they still match your paperwork.
Can I get it under my own brand?
Yes. We already run the platform on customer domains, with their logo in the header and on their emails. Ask us and we will set it up.